Take two people and tell them they have the opportunity to split $10. Furthermore, tell one person that, as first mover, they get to make a one time offer, and tell the other person that, as second mover, they get the opportunity to either accept or reject this offer. If the offer is rejected they both go home with zero. This stylized negotiation was first studied by experimental economists in
Güth, Werner, Rolf Schmittberger, and Bernd Schwarze (1982) “An Experimental Analysis of Ultimatum Bargaining,” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 3:4 (December), 367-388.
and economists got a surprise. Game theory predicts an unequal split favoring the person who gets to make the offer. After all if I offer a ($9, $1) split where you only get $1 you should take it since a dollar is better than nothing, but instead a majority of the offers are to split equally. Not a bad strategy if your partner is willing to reject unequal offers, and sometimes they do, but not all that often in the one-shot case. Can fear of rejection explain the equal split offers? To answer this question
R. Forsythe, J. Horowitz, N.E. Savin and M. Sefton, Fairness in Simple Bargaining Experiments," Games and Economic Behavior, 6, 1994, 347-369.
compare offers in the ultimatum game with offers in a simpler game called the dictator game. In the dictator game, the players who make the offers get to keep their share no matter what. Sure enough they make less equal offers, and keep more of the $10. Interesting, unlike the female capuchins in Sarah Brosnan and Frans de Waal’s study second movers always accepted their unequal monetary shares when it came time to collect in the dictator games, but by then first movers were long gone.
Airtravel
Posted by: travel | February 24, 2007 at 02:54 AM
Hi There is an interesting article in the last issue of the Economist that adds a twist to your article. In the game of Ultimatum, besides playing the game with all male participanta a level of tstosteron were measured and results criss crossed with rejection and level of homrmone, showing that 5 in 7 with highest testosteron have rejected unequal offer, and only 1 in 19 with low level of hormone did reject the offer.
Reiden, Switzerland
Posted by: Stefan Baginski | July 09, 2007 at 07:03 AM
womens perfume and cheap discount designer perfume online, chanel perfume, burberry perfume, lacoste perfume, celine dion perfume, dolce gabbana perfume,
http://www.perfumeworldwide.com
Posted by: Discount Perfume | December 18, 2007 at 03:33 AM
A wonderful game that depicts the wonders of scinece
Posted by: SEO PPC Services Company UK | January 10, 2008 at 06:46 AM
A theory depicted with a great practicle implementation.Realy an ultimatum game it is.
Posted by: kaur bali | January 10, 2008 at 06:49 AM
http://www.weddingtropics.com/drawstring-pants.html
http://www.weddingtropics.com/linen-guayabera-shirts.html
http://www.weddingtropics.com/hawaiian-dresses.html
Posted by: Wedding clothing | May 01, 2008 at 07:58 AM
http://www.weddingtropics.com/drawstring-pants.html
http://www.weddingtropics.com/linen-guayabera-shirts.html
http://www.weddingtropics.com/hawaiian-dresses.html
Posted by: Wedding clothing | May 01, 2008 at 07:59 AM
thank you .
Posted by: منتدى كوره | July 19, 2008 at 03:04 PM
Sounds like a sweet game. I found the new thing for me to do when I'm bored with friends.
Posted by: Discount Shipping | February 18, 2009 at 03:52 PM
A natural ability, intuition is something deep within us all. It is a powerful sense of knowing something without a logical rationale for how it is known or where the information came from.
Posted by: ArmStrong Method | April 13, 2009 at 09:43 AM